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Assumption Mapping

Identify the assumptions on which the business or initiative depends. Group them by importance and strength of evidence. Start testing important assumptions with weak evidence. These axes assess uncertainty and consequence, rather than effort or expected benefit.

Assumption Mapping

Last updated: —
Business / initiative: —

Intended outcome

Intended outcome: —

Assessment criteria

Criteria for importance: —
Criteria for strength of evidence: —

Importance and strength of evidence

Strength of evidence: weak → strong · Importance: bottom (low) → top (high)

High importance / weak evidence: —
High importance / strong evidence: —
Lower importance / weak evidence: —
Lower importance / strong evidence: —

Assumptions to test first

Assumption	Impact if false	Evidence available	Test method	Owner / due date
—	—	—	—	—

Source / reference